2009 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes
Its the 58th running of the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes this Saturday offering a massive £567,700 to the winner and a overall purse of £1 million.
As such this years renewal is ultra competitive as always with a total of 5 G1 wins between them including a breeders cup turf. Oaks and Irish derby winner.
This years race however does lack a strong 3 year old contender though in fairness last years race had not one from the classic generation.
I already know my idea of the winner as I backed him a few weeks ago but I have done an impartial analysis of all runners below.
ANALYSIS OF DECLARED RUNNERS
| | | | Northern Dancer (CAN) |
| | Sadler's Wells (USA) |
| |
| | | | Fairy Bridge (USA) |
| Ask b h 2003 |
| | | |
| | | | Rainbow Quest (USA) |
| | Request |
| |
| | | | Highbrow |
Race Record(Wins)
3 x Group 3's
1 x Group 2
Coronation Cup 2009 Group 1
Total Prize Money (to date)
£558,970
My Conclusion
Gutsy 6 year old who recorded long overdue first Group 1 at Epsom in June, however this race is much stronger and looks stables third string on Jockey bookings but has places claims and will be battling right to the line.
Current Best Odds 12/1
Ask runs in the colours of Patrick J Fahey
| | | |
| | | | | Darshaan 1981 |
| | Dalakhani (IRE) |
| |
| | | | Daltawa (IRE) 1989 |
| Conduit (IRE) ch c 2005 |
| | | |
| | | | Sadler's Wells (USA) |
| | Well Head (IRE) |
| |
| | | | River Dancer |
Race Record(Wins)
1 x Group 3
St Ledger 2008 Group 1
Breeders Cup Turf 2008 Group 1
Total Prize Money (to date)
£1,345,831
My Conclusion
Last years St Ledger and Breeders Cup Turf winner, who will relish return to this trip after chasing home to youngsters in the Eclipse last time out, Stable jockey Ryan Moore has opted for this brilliant colt and has to take the beating here.
Current Best Odds 7/4
Conduit runs in the colours of the Ballymacoll Stud
| | |
| | | | | Sadler's Wells (USA) |
| | Montjeu (IRE) |
| |
| | | | Floripedes (FR) |
| Frozen Fire (GER) b c 2005 |
| | | |
| | | | Woodman (USA) |
| | Flamingo Sea (USA) |
| |
| | | | Fabula Dancer (USA) |
Race Record(Wins)
Irish Derby 2009 Group 1
Total Prize Money (to date)
£674,678
My Conclusion
Last years Irish Derby winner but totally gone off the boil since, well beaten in all last 3 outings including 2 this term and hard to see reversal of 2008 St ledger form with Conduit.
Current Best Odds 14/1
Frozen Fire runs in the colours of M Tabor, D Smith & Mrs John Magnier
| | |
| | | | | Rahy (USA) |
| | Fantastic Light (USA) |
| |
| | | | Jood (USA) |
| Scintillo ch c 2005 |
| | | |
| | | | Thatching |
| | Danseuse Du Soir (IRE) |
| |
| | | | Dance By Night |
Race Record(Wins)
1 x Group 3
1 x Group 2
Gran Criterium 2007 Group 1
Total Prize Money (to date)
£303,681
My Conclusion
In fine form earlier this season winning the Winter Derby and listed race at kempton but this is a huge step up and with no disrespect to the horse as I like him as an individual the only horse(s) in this line up he'll be beating is the pacemaker, Alwaary and maybe Frozen Fire.
Current Best Odds 50/1
Scintillo runs in the colours of White Beech Farm
|
| | | | | Rainbow Quest (USA) |
| | Spectrum (IRE) |
| |
| | | | River Dancer |
| Tartan Bearer (IRE) ch c 2005 |
| | | |
| | | | Generous (IRE) |
| | Highland Gift (IRE) |
| |
| | | | Scots Lass |
Race Record(Wins)
1 x Group 3
1 x Group 2
Total Prize Money (to date)
£628,587
My Conclusion
Last years Dante winner and Derby runner up, who has returned ever better this year with a gutsy re-appearance victory followed by a cracking second in Prince Of Wales(Royal Ascot), is stables and owners second representative in this race along with Conduit but but no means a back number, is held on last years Irish Derby form with Frozen Fire but looks set to re-establish(beat frozen fire in dante) supremecy with that horse on Saturday but im just not totally convinced that he see's this trip out as well as Conduit so as such has been passed over.
Current Best Odds 4/1
Tartan Bearer runs in the colours of the Ballymacoll Stud
| | | | Niniski (USA) |
| | Hernando (FR) |
| |
| | | | Whakilyric (USA) |
| Look Here b f 2005 |
| | | |
| | | | Rainbow Quest (USA) |
| | Last Look |
| |
| | | | Derniere Danse |
Race Record(Wins)
Oaks 2008 Group 1
Total Prize Money (to date)
£321,991
My Conclusion
Last years Oaks heroine who in honesty I did not rate till this season but her runs in both the Coronation and in Ireland were both eye catching, probably can reverse Epsom form with Ask considering that was her first run for nearly a year that day but is still held on St ledger form with Conduit and as such cannot see her beating him but can't see her being out of first 3 so at 7/1 is a cracking each way bet.
Current Best Odds 7/1
Look Here runs in the colours of J H Richmond-Watson
| | |
| | | | | Roberto (USA) 1969 |
| | Dynaformer (USA) 1985 |
| |
| | | | Andover Way (USA) |
| Alwaary (USA) b c 2006 |
| | | |
| | | | Unfuwain (USA) 1985 |
| | Tabrir (IRE) |
| |
| | | |
Race Record(Wins)
1 x Listed Victory
Total Prize Money (to date)
£53,535
My Conclusion
Ran a good race at Newmarket last time out when finishing 2nd to Conduits stablemate Doctor Freemantle but Conduit is much better than him and just cannot see how this colt can trade at odds of 16/1 when Scintillo a dual group winner is 50's, the only thing is his favour in my opinion is the weight for age allowance but even allowing that I dont think he will be troubling the principals here.
Current Best Odds 16/1
Alwaary runs in the colours of Hamdan Al Maktoum
| | |
| | | | | Sadler's Wells (USA) |
| | High Chaparral (IRE) |
| |
| | | | Kasora (IRE) |
| Golden Sword b c 2006 |
| | | |
| | | | Salse (USA) |
| | Sitara |
| |
| | | | Souk (IRE) |
Race Record(Wins)
1 x Group 3
Total Prize Money (to date)
£369,251
My Conclusion
This years Derby 5th and Irish Derby Runner up and further more Ballydoyles number 1 representative here, also gets 3 year olds allowance which will help and is more than entitled to take his place in this line up and if granted a soft lead is a threat to all-just concerned about tactics with pacemaker in field as this horse does like to dominate.
Current Best Odds 5/1
Golden Sword runs in the colours of M.Tabor
| | |
| | | | | Sadler's Wells (USA) |
| | Galileo (IRE) |
| |
| | | | Urban Sea (USA) |
| Rockhampton (IRE) b c 2006 |
| | | |
| | | | Green Dancer (USA) |
| | Green Rosy (USA) |
| |
| | | | Round The Rosie (USA) |
Race Record(Wins)
1 X Listed Race
Total Prize Money (to date)
£68,453
My Conclusion
Talented horse in own right but used as pacemaker these days and 200/1 is far to short.
Current Best Odds 200/1
Rockhampton runs in the colours of Mrs John Magnier, M Tabor & D Smith
Final Conclusion
I just cannot see past conduit in this race, has the beating of Frozen Fire And Look Here on last year's form and with Ryan picking him over both Stoute runners looks the one to be on.
Predicted finishing order
1, Coduit
2, Look Here
3, Tartan Bearer
4, Ask
5, Golden Sword
6, Scintillo
7, Frozen Fire
8, Alwaary
9, Rockhampton
PAST WINNERS AND VIDEO REPLAYS
| 1981 | Shergar | 3 | Walter Swinburn | Michael Stoute |
| 1982 | Kalaglow | 4 | Greville Starkey | Guy Harwood |
| 1983 | Time Charter | 4 | Joe Mercer | Henry Candy |
| 1984 | Teenoso | 4 | Lester Piggott | Geoff Wragg |
| 1985 | Petoski | 3 | Willie Carson | Dick Hern |
| 1986 | Dancing Brave | 3 | Pat Eddery | Guy Harwood |
| 1987 | Reference Point | 3 | Steve Cauthen | Henry Cecil |
| 1988 | Mtoto | 5 | Michael Roberts | Alec Stewart |
| 1989 | Nashwan | 3 | Willie Carson | Dick Hern |
| 1990 | Belmez | 3 | Michael Kinane | Henry Cecil |
| 1991 | Generous | 3 | Alan Munro | Paul Cole |
| 1992 | St Jovite | 3 | Stephen Craine | Jim Bolger |
| 1993 | Opera House | 5 | Michael Roberts | Michael Stoute |
| 1994 | King's Theatre | 3 | Michael Kinane | Henry Cecil |
| 1995 | Lammtarra | 3 | Frankie Dettori | Saeed bin Suroor |
| 1996 | Pentire | 4 | Michael Hills | Geoff Wragg |
| 1997 | Swain | 5 | John Reid | Saeed bin Suroor |
| 1998 | Swain | 6 | Frankie Dettori | Saeed bin Suroor |
| 1999 | Daylami | 5 | Frankie Dettori | Saeed bin Suroor |
| 2000 | Montjeu | 4 | Michael Kinane | John Hammond |
| 2001 | Galileo | 3 | Michael Kinane | Aidan O'Brien |
| 2002 | Golan | 4 | Kieren Fallon | Sir Michael Stoute |
| 2003 | Alamshar | 3 | Johnny Murtagh | John Oxx |
| 2004 | Doyen | 4 | Frankie Dettori | Saeed bin Suroor |
| 2005 | Azamour * | 4 | Michael Kinane | John Oxx |
| 2006 | Hurricane Run | 4 | Christophe Soumillon | André Fabre |
| 2007 | Dylan Thomas | 4 | Johnny Murtagh | Aidan O'Brien |
| 2008 | Duke of Marmalade | 4 | Johnny Murtagh | Aidan O'Brien |
* In 2005 due to the re-development of Ascot this race was run at Newbury.
2008 DUKE OF MARMALADE
2007 DYLAN THOMAS
2006 HURRICANE RUN
FULL RESULT AND RACE REPLAY
1, Conduit 13/8f
2, Tartan Bearer 7/2
3, Ask 9/1
4, Alwaary 12/1
5, Golden Sword 5/1
6, Look Here 7/1
7, Frozen Fire 20/1
8, Rockhampton 125/1
9, Scintillo 66/1